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Unified
Polymarket
Hyperliquid
Unified
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes
3%
No
97%
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3.5k
99%
↑4k
97%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1
74%
2
23%
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
49%
17–19
25%
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1
43%
0
41%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Yes
3%
No
97%
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Yes
5%
No
96%
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Yes
3%
No
97%
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
27%
No
74%
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes
21%
No
80%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes
9%
No
92%
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Yes
7%
No
93%
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Yes
3%
No
97%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Yes
3%
No
97%
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
2%
No
99%
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
4.4-4.6m sq km
98%
4.0-4.2m sq km
1%
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
33°C
99%
34°C
0.9%
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+
91%
1150–1199
5%
