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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
4%
September 30
0.5%
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3.5k
99%
↑4k
97%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Anthropic
56%
SpaceX
41%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1
74%
2
23%
Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes
2%
No
98%
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
49%
17–19
25%
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1
43%
0
41%
New pandemic in 2026?
Yes
6%
No
95%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027
66%
June 30, 2027
47%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Yes
1%
No
99%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 31
96%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
93%
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Yes
3%
No
98%
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
50%
5-6
45%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2028
34%
December 31, 2027
16%
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Yes
5%
No
96%
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159
78%
120-139
15%
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Yes
3%
No
97%
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
27%
No
74%
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
84%
December 31, 2026
62%
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes
21%
No
80%
Anthropic
SpaceX
