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Economic Policy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)
1 (25 bps)

$53M Vol13 Markets

Fed Decision in October?

Save 71×Save 71× in fees on Hyperliquid

25 bps increase
No change

$7.7M Vol5 Markets

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%
≥ 4.5%

$6.9M Vol15 Markets

Fed rate cut by...?

June 2027 Meeting
July 2027 Meeting

$3.7M Vol13 Markets

US recession by end of 2026?

Yes
No

$2M Vol

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 4.25%
↑ 4.5%

$1.8M Vol21 Markets

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

December 31
May 30

$447.3K Vol

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change
25 bps increase

$125.6K Vol5 Markets

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike
Hike–Hike–Pause

$86.5K Vol9 Markets

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

0.8-1.1%
1.2-1.5%

$63K Vol7 Markets

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

No change
25 bps increase

$52K Vol5 Markets

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes
No

$45.5K Vol

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

1.0-1.2%
0.7-0.9%

$37K Vol6 Markets

ECB rate cut in 2026?

Yes
No

$33.2K Vol

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

≥3.0%
2.0–2.5%

$31.1K Vol7 Markets

Swiss National Bank decision in September?

No Change
25 bps decrease

$15.5K Vol5 Markets

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

25 bps increase
No Change

$14.6K Vol5 Markets