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Lebanon
Unified
Polymarket
Hyperliquid
Unified
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 31
7%
September 30
0.7%
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
December 31
10%
March 31
0%
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
March 31
50%
December 31
13%
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
December 31
0%
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Amal Movement (Amal)
0.9%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
0.3%
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
September 19
93%
September 20
90%
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
December 31
9%
September 30
3%
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
October 31
15%
September 30
5%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
8%
No
92%
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
September 30
4%
May 31
0%
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
September 30
3%
May 31
0%
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
December 31
10%
June 30
0%
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
September 30
2%
May 31
0%
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
September 30
4%
July 31
0%
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
December 31
11%
April 17
0%
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Yes
7%
No
93%
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
September 30
5%
September 18
0.7%
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
Yes
20%
No
80%
Amal Movement (Amal)
Hezbollah (Hezb)
