Polymarket

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas97.8%Fernando Haddad1.0%Erika Hilton0.5%Kim Kataguiri0.2%

0%20%40%60%80%100%

Tarcísio de Freitas97.8%Fernando Haddad1.0%Erika Hilton0.5%Kim Kataguiri0.2%

$311.4K Vol

$147K Vol
98%
$51.6K Vol
1%
$23.1K Vol
<1%
$79.1K Vol
<1%
$10.7K Vol
<1%

Rules

Polymarket

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).