Polymarket

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.90%97.0%4.95%71.0%5.00%43.0%5.10%40.5%

0%25%50%75%100%

4.90%97.0%4.95%71.0%5.00%43.0%5.10%40.5%

$21.2K Vol

$707.9 Vol
97%
$744.9 Vol
71%
$4.9K Vol
43%
$6.1K Vol
41%
$2.8K Vol
30%

Rules

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).