Polymarket

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202628.5%October 31, 202618.5%September 30, 20264.5%

0%10%20%30%

December 31, 202628.5%October 31, 202618.5%September 30, 20264.5%

$1.7M Vol

$1.6M Vol
29% 3%
$31.7K Vol
19% 4%
$103.9K Vol
5% 2%

Rules

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.