The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price is above 86028 at 2026-09-21 17:15 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. Settlement is according to the 60-second TWAP of BTC-USDC perp mark price ending at 2026-09-21 17:15 UTC. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, settlement is instead according to the BTC settlement price at delisting.
Outcome:Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET